Fair P/E multiples as a function of Growth and ROIC

I always thought I was a bit more valuation focused than the average investor, and this likely results from my academic studies which was quite focused on methods. Sure, no science at all, but art and so forth, but some simple truths are important …

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P&C Insurance Economics 103.1: P&C Insurance, inflation and higher rates

P&C and especially Auto insurance companies’ earnings get pressured by higher combined ratios driven by claims inflation. As some central banks raise interest rates to tackle inflation forward investment returns support earnings and returns on equity. Higher investment income might increase competition and pressure underwriting margins further.  …

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The world needs cheap high-quality generics. And investments! Hidden growing Krka might do …

I instantly liked the company’s fundamentals, and its foreign ‘hidden’ character. It seems to fly very much under the radar when international investors are concerned. I generally believe this to be a real advantage and can be a strong investor’s edge.

Looking at the company more closely, I liked the vertically integrated business model. But I had to be careful, since I bought into a competitor some years ago. And that investment turned out …

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I looked at the Banking Industry and I invested in this Asian company! (Silverlake)

This is part six and at the same time the last piece of my series on banks, for the time being. In this post I will do a quick recap of the series and take a look at my learnings.

More important for you: I analysed a company I had on my to-do-list for some time now …

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A General Risk Framework

According to academia, the cost of equity can be calculated using the CAPM, a central model to modern financial theory. But even Damodaran critizes this as a statistical approach usually considered too narrowly. Damodaran tends to and recommends to think about business risk in a more general sense first, without applying sophisticated and data-heavy statistical methods (which might have its place).

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Is Tencent Music (TME) worth buying for its massive long-term growth potential?

[This post was published with password protection on Sept 22 but is now reposted without protection] Spotify is a very well known company in Western Europe and the US. Chances are that you use either Spotify’s services or any other service from Apple, Google, Amazon, etc! Spotify’s investing story rides on the huge secular growth trend of music streaming and podcasts, accelerated through covid-19, resulting in its one year stock price performance of +60%. Spotify’s profitability might be an issue, though. But there might be a more profitable alternative for investors …

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What is Flow Traders’ potential as it is successfully riding the ETF investment trend?

Flow Traders N.V. is a leading global technology-enabled liquidity provider, specialized in Exchange Traded Products (ETPs) that massively profits from the ongoing trend to passive investments (read more in my prior post). As such, it could benefit tremendously in the years and decades to come leveraging its technology and its growing global presence. This post will analyse Flow Traders potential in more detail …

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Revisited: Is Oriental Watch the right Hong Kong bargain I want to buy right NOW?

In April, I finally published a post about Oriental Watch. I followed the company since October 2019, but uncertainty remained too high to form an investment case. The bottom line was, I promised to take another look at Oriental Watch when the (preliminary) annual results are available. Final results were released Monday …

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Quicky on Pandora A/S: After Strong Recent Performace is Position Trimming Needed?

From its intraday low on March 16th (DKK 182), Pandora rallied strongly with a performance until today (June 4, DKK 362) of +85%, more than +50% within the last month. Since Pandora represents a considerable position of my equity portfolio, I want to do a quick recap of my investment thesis and answer the question if a position resizing might be warranted.

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Is Oriental Watch the right Hong Kong bargain I want to buy right now?

Oriental Watch Holding Ltd. (Oriental Watch, OW) is a holding company that is listed in Hong Kong (398 HK) since 1993. It is active as a luxury watch retailer in greater China with stores in Hong Kong, Mainland China, Macau and Taiwan. I got the initial idea from a blog I highly recommend you to follow! …

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Is SES a good buy after shares are down 30% after FY 2019 results?

SES S.A. is an abbreviation for Société Européenne des Satellites. SES is a holding company based in Luxembourg offering satellite communications services globally through its subsidiaries. The company offers services for cable television networks, Internet access, corporate networks, network facilities, telecommunications services, and audiovisual broadcasting serving corporates and governments.

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Pandora A/S Valuation Update after AR 2019

Pandora A/S released its Q4 and FY 2019 Annual Report on 4th February, 2020. The market reacted negatively with Pandora down 2.5%, presumably to the FY 2020 guidance, with sales guidance meeting expectations but expeted margin falling below expectations. I read through the material and updated my former Valuation-post of Pandora.

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